Crusaders FC 3-2 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.37
X/2
12%
7.91
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
7%
5.54
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.66/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.76
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Coleraine FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crusaders FC
3-2
AWAY Coleraine FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC edged past Coleraine FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Crusaders FC had 50% of the ball to Coleraine FC's 50%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.67 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Crusaders FC 3-2 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 47%, draw 28%, Coleraine FC 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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