Ballymena United 4-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

Ballymena United
4-1 HT 3-1
Loughgall FC
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.32
6+ Goals
7%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.03
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
12%
3.8
X/2
8%
10.5
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
14%
8.21
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballymena United v Loughgall FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.04/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.58
-6% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
08.01.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United cruised past Loughgall FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Ballymena United and 2.20 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC?

Ballymena United 4-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 49%, draw 25%, Loughgall FC 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ BTTS No
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