Loughgall FC 2-3 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
7%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.68
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.5
X/2
10%
7.25
X/X
6%
5.02
2/1
4%
23.6
2/2
13%
5.21
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
2.58/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.52
+63% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
08.01.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United edged past Loughgall FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Loughgall FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.25 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United?

Loughgall FC 2-3 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 50%, draw 23%, Ballymena United 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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