Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
18%
4.94
X/2
11%
7.22
X/X
7%
5.47
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.16/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.89
+51% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.03.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
10.12.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts nicked a narrow win over Carrick Rangers 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.83 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 46%, draw 23%, Carrick Rangers 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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