Carrick Rangers 2-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
5%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.52
X/2
12%
5.59
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.54
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 5% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.26
-24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.04.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.03.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
10.12.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
15.10.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 3-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
2-1
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers edged past Dungannon Swifts 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Carrick Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 42% of the ball to Dungannon Swifts's 58%, shots finished 4-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.17 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Carrick Rangers 2-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 38%, draw 26%, Dungannon Swifts 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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