Glentoran FC 8-2 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.51
2-3 Goals
40%
2.11
4-5 Goals
30%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.27
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
32.5
X/1
23%
3.39
X/2
4%
32.0
X/X
8%
11.4
2/1
10%
22.45
2/2
4%
23.3
2/X
5%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
79%
-11.9pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.7pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+5.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
2.80/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.38
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
490 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Newry City AFC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
09.09.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-4 HT 2-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
21.01.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-3 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
22.10.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
03.09.2022 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
05.03.2022 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glentoran FC
8-2
AWAY Newry City AFC
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC ran out comfortable winners over Newry City AFC 8-2. Half-time: 5-1. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 8-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Glentoran FC had 61% of the ball to Newry City AFC's 39%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.50 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Newry City AFC?

Glentoran FC 8-2 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 68%, draw 19%, Newry City AFC 13%. The final score 8-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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