Cliftonville 4-2 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
14%
3.75
X/2
7%
11.8
X/X
11%
6.31
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
20.65
2/2
12%
8.73
2/X
8%
16.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
2.77/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.24
+31% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
12.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 3-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
05.11.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-2 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
17.09.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
19.03.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cliftonville
4-2
AWAY Glenavon FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville beat Glenavon FC 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Cliftonville had 50% of the ball to Glenavon FC's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cliftonville and 0.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC?

Cliftonville 4-2 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 52%, draw 23%, Glenavon FC 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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