Loughgall FC 0-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.81
1/2
6%
21.6
1/X
5%
16.0
X/1
9%
10.35
X/2
15%
3.82
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.0
2/X
8%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 62%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.53/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.09
+34% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Crusaders FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
11.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
22.06.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loughgall FC
0-1
AWAY Crusaders FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC squeezed past Loughgall FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Loughgall FC had 48% of the ball to Crusaders FC's 52%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Loughgall FC and 2.00 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Crusaders FC?

Loughgall FC 0-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 27%, draw 23%, Crusaders FC 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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