Larne FC 0-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 32% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.08
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
15%
3.88
X/2
10%
9.99
X/X
12%
5.54
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
9%
7.67
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.62/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.52
-12% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
21.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
04.11.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 4-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC nicked a narrow win over Larne FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Crusaders FC?

Larne FC 0-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 47%, draw 27%, Crusaders FC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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