Bangor FC 0-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
52%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.9
1/2
4%
20.85
1/X
6%
19.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
10%
14.6
X/2
14%
3.64
X/X
8%
7.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.67
2/X
6%
18.6
Value flag · X/1 at 14.6 — our 10% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
14%
+14.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-14.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cliftonville
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 16
3 Corners 7
08.10.2019 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-2 HT 2-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KILK
16.12.2014 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-3 HT 2-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRLK
POST-MATCH Bangor FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville nicked a narrow win over Bangor FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bangor FC and 3.50 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Bangor FC vs Cliftonville?

Bangor FC 0-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - League Cup on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bangor FC 28%, draw 20%, Cliftonville 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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