AS Ariana 1-0 SA Menzel Bourguiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY SA Menzel Bourguiba EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
269 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
1-0
AWAY SA Menzel Bourguiba
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs SA Menzel Bourguiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana nicked a narrow win over SA Menzel Bourguiba 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AS Ariana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, AS Ariana had 49% of the ball to SA Menzel Bourguiba's 51%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

AS Ariana 1-0 SA Menzel Bourguiba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 43%, draw 33%, SA Menzel Bourguiba 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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