Megrine 2-1 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 4 Jan 2025

Megrine
2-1
EM Mahdia
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

Megrine vs EM Mahdia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.9pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Megrine v EM Mahdia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Megrine EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 17%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.16
-1% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.7
POST-MATCH Megrine vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Megrine edged past EM Mahdia 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Megrine as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Megrine vs EM Mahdia?

Megrine 2-1 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Megrine vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Megrine win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Megrine 51%, draw 35%, EM Mahdia 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Megrine) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Megrine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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