SC Villa 1-0 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 4 Jan 2025

SC Villa
1-0 HT 0-0
URA
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.66/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.69
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +52%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY URA
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
27.03.2022 URA URA 3-1 HT 1-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
07.12.2021 SC Villa SC Villa 2-2 HT 2-1 URA URA UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-0
AWAY URA
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa nicked a narrow win over URA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; SC Villa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SC Villa had 51% of the ball to URA's 49%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, URA led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SC Villa and 2.50 for URA.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs URA?

SC Villa 1-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated an URA win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 28%, draw 33%, URA 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (URA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (URA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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UGA More Uganda - Premier League
4 Jan 2025
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