Kallithea 2-1 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
16%
4.31
X/2
8%
7.35
X/X
17%
3.68
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
13%
6.25
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 28%
-36% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +11%
1.53/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.25
+15% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
24.5 Crosses 14.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Lamia
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.46 xG 0.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
247 Passes 256
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
10.01.2023 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 1-2 Lamia Lamia YUK
14.12.2022 Lamia Lamia 1-1 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUK
24.10.2017 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUK
27.10.2015 Kallithea Kallithea 2-1 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
2-1
AWAY Lamia
0.79 xG 0.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
337 Passes 389
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kallithea squeezed past Lamia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kallithea as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kallithea had 46% of the ball to Lamia's 54%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lamia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Kallithea and 1.00 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Lamia?

Kallithea 2-1 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 43%, draw 30%, Lamia 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kallithea) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kallithea) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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