Lamia 0-0 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
7%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.81
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
7%
6.26
X/2
14%
4.77
X/X
17%
3.98
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
26%
3.28
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.97/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Kallithea
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2023 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 1-2 Lamia Lamia YUK
14.12.2022 Lamia Lamia 1-1 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUK
24.10.2017 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUK
27.10.2015 Kallithea Kallithea 2-1 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
0-0
AWAY Kallithea
0.56 xG 0.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
256 Passes 247
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamia and Kallithea played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kallithea at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lamia had 50% of the ball to Kallithea's 50%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.56 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lamia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lamia and 1.00 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Kallithea?

Lamia 0-0 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lamia 25%, draw 29%, Kallithea 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kallithea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kallithea) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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