Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.05
X/2
9%
5.9
X/X
18%
3.83
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.02/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
-18% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.0 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atromitos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 361
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
02.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
09.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
19.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-3 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-2
AWAY Atromitos
1.71 xG 1.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
376 Passes 142
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 68% of the ball to Atromitos's 32%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.71 to 1.22 — on chances, Asteras Tripolis could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.17 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 42%, draw 28%, Atromitos 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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