Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.99
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
20%
4.74
X/2
12%
6.71
X/X
10%
4.46
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.88
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.38/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.04
+33% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
15.3 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
02.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
09.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
19.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-3 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
02.04.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.22 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
433 Passes 343
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis squeezed past Atromitos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atromitos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atromitos had 55% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 45%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.22 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 0.83 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 42%, draw 23%, Asteras Tripolis 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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