PAS Giannina 1-1 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.1
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
9%
5.23
X/2
15%
6.69
X/X
17%
4.72
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.41
2/X
5%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +22%
1.22/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.00
-21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
25.2 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAS Giannina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Volos NFC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 Passes 357
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-2 HT 0-1 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
05.11.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
07.10.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-2 HT 0-2 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUK
05.03.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 0-1 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
10.11.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-1 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
06.03.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-0 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAS Giannina
1-1
AWAY Volos NFC
2.36 xG 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
317 Passes 433
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH PAS Giannina vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAS Giannina and Volos NFC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PAS Giannina had 43% of the ball to Volos NFC's 57%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.36 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volos NFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PAS Giannina and 1.17 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of PAS Giannina vs Volos NFC?

PAS Giannina 1-1 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAS Giannina vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Volos NFC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split PAS Giannina 34%, draw 30%, Volos NFC 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Volos NFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volos NFC) ✓ Under 2.5
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