OFI 1-2 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 33% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
4.78
X/2
11%
7.34
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.04
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.9 Crosses 15.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 0.85
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
445 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUK
23.01.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
20.01.2024 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
27.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
09.01.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
10.09.2022 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-2
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.60 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
425 Passes 407
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
36 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos edged past OFI 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 51% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 49%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.60 to 0.92 — on chances, OFI could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OFI and 1.33 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panaitolikos?

OFI 1-2 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split OFI 46%, draw 25%, Panaitolikos 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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