OFI 1-2 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.59
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
11%
4.11
X/2
10%
7.57
X/X
16%
4.41
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
6.08
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.07/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.71
+0% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
441 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
27.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
09.01.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
10.09.2022 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
30.04.2022 OFI OFI 0-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.01.2022 OFI OFI 2-4 HT 1-2 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-2
AWAY Panaitolikos
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos edged past OFI 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 53% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 47%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OFI and 1.33 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panaitolikos?

OFI 1-2 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Cup on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split OFI 41%, draw 29%, Panaitolikos 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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