OFI 1-0 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Jan 2024

OFI
1-0 HT 1-0
Panaitolikos
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

OFI vs Panaitolikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
10%
4.14
X/2
12%
9.12
X/X
19%
4.84
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
14%
6.93
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
52%
-14.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v Panaitolikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.36/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
-22% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
24.9 Crosses 14.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

OFI vs Panaitolikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
410 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
09.01.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
10.09.2022 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
30.04.2022 OFI OFI 0-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.01.2022 OFI OFI 2-4 HT 1-2 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
17.10.2021 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-2 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN

OFI 1-0 Panaitolikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-0
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.86 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
462 Passes 250
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI edged past Panaitolikos 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day OFI made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, OFI had 61% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 39%, shots finished 4-7, expected goals 0.86 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for OFI and 1.50 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panaitolikos?

OFI 1-0 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split OFI 37%, draw 31%, Panaitolikos 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFI), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Under 2.5
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