Lamia 4-1 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
7%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.37
X/2
6%
7.32
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
5.83
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.27
-3% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.7 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kifisia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
234 Passes 300
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 34
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
4-1
AWAY Kifisia
1.06 xG 2.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
240 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamia cruised past Kifisia 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lamia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lamia had 46% of the ball to Kifisia's 54%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.06 to 2.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kifisia.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Kifisia?

Lamia 4-1 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lamia 47%, draw 26%, Kifisia 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lamia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lamia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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