Asteras Tripolis 3-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

Asteras Tripolis
3-1 HT 1-0
Atromitos
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.27
6+ Goals
11%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.88
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2
11%
6.8
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.43
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.05/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.28
-10% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.6 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atromitos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
386 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
09.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
19.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-3 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
02.04.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
19.02.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

Asteras Tripolis 3-1 Atromitos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3-1
AWAY Atromitos
2.16 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
295 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis saw off Atromitos 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 47% of the ball to Atromitos's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 2.16 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.33 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Asteras Tripolis 3-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 44%, draw 26%, Atromitos 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
28 Jan 2024
17:00 AEK Atina vs OFI Analysis →
20:30 Olympiakos vs PAS Giannina Analysis →
21:30 PAOK vs Panathinaikos Analysis →