Olympiakos 3-1 PAS Giannina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.39
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
28.5
X/1
13%
3.25
X/2
5%
25.5
X/X
7%
8.4
2/1
11%
25.0
2/2
6%
21.3
2/X
7%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
2.01/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.40
+34% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
522 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 71%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
22.8 Crosses 10.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-2D-0L
AWAY PAS Giannina
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 0.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
516 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 0-3 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
21.12.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
21.08.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
01.05.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-2 HT 2-1 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
20.03.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
23.01.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 1-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
3-1
AWAY PAS Giannina
2.47 xG 1.18
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
552 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs PAS Giannina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos saw off PAS Giannina 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olympiakos had 67% of the ball to PAS Giannina's 33%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.47 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Olympiakos and 0.83 for PAS Giannina.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs PAS Giannina?

Olympiakos 3-1 PAS Giannina in the Greece - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs PAS Giannina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 65%, draw 20%, PAS Giannina 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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