AEK Atina 3-0 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.41
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
25.5
X/1
23%
3.38
X/2
8%
23.45
X/X
8%
8.61
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
3%
18.25
2/X
4%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
75%
-5.8pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
2.07/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.07
+1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
24.9 Crosses 9.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY OFI
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
326 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2023 OFI OFI 2-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.03.2023 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.11.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.12.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-2 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
19.09.2021 OFI OFI 3-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
31.01.2021 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
3-0
AWAY OFI
1.34 xG 0.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
352 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina cruised past OFI 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 53% of the ball to OFI's 47%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 1.17 for OFI.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs OFI?

AEK Atina 3-0 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 69%, draw 17%, OFI 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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