PAOK 2-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.48
X/2
8%
7.0
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.23
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+7.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +30%
1.21/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.07
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
17.8 Crosses 11.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
03.05.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
23.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
26.01.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
22.01.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-3 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
18.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.98 xG 1.56
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
230 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Panathinaikos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PAOK had 39% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 61%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.98 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Panathinaikos.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PAOK and 1.00 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

PAOK 2-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split PAOK 53%, draw 23%, Panathinaikos 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK)
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