Beasain 0-1 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

Beasain
0-1 HT 0-1
Naxara
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Beasain vs Naxara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beasain v Naxara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beasain EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -19%
1.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.60
+2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Beasain 0-1 Naxara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beasain
0-1
AWAY Naxara
64% Ball Possession 36%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beasain vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxara squeezed past Beasain 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Beasain at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Beasain had 64% of the ball to Naxara's 36%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Beasain vs Naxara?

Beasain 0-1 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beasain vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beasain win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Beasain 51%, draw 25%, Naxara 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Beasain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beasain) ✓ Under 2.5
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