Real Valladolid II 0-4 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.27/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.37
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.01.2025 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
07.09.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-2 HT 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
23.03.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-4 HT 3-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
12.11.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
0-4
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril swept aside Real Valladolid II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RC Deportivo Fabril as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 47% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 53%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, RC Deportivo Fabril led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Real Valladolid II and 2.00 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Real Valladolid II 0-4 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 29%, draw 28%, RC Deportivo Fabril 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✗ BTTS Yes
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