Real Valladolid II 1-2 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.53/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.53
+20% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-4 HT 3-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
12.11.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
1-2
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril nicked a narrow win over Real Valladolid II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Valladolid II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 56% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 44%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Real Valladolid II and 3.00 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Real Valladolid II 1-2 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 47%, draw 25%, RC Deportivo Fabril 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Valladolid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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