Colonia Moscardo 1-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+10.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1-2
AWAY Cacereno
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno edged past Colonia Moscardo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cacereno found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 39% of the ball to Cacereno's 61%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Cacereno?

Colonia Moscardo 1-2 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 37%, draw 26%, Cacereno 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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