Navalcarnero 2-1 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
2-1
AWAY Real Madrid III
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid III 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Navalcarnero found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 57% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 43%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?

Navalcarnero 2-1 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 38%, draw 27%, Real Madrid III 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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