Coruxo 1-2 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Sep 2024

Coruxo
1-2 HT 0-2
Numancia
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Coruxo vs Numancia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coruxo v Numancia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.05/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.93
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia nicked a narrow win over Coruxo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Numancia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Numancia?

Coruxo 1-2 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 35%, draw 30%, Numancia 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5
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