Numancia vs Real Oviedo II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Numancia v Real Oviedo II — Team-Based Signals
Numancia vs Real Oviedo II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Real Oviedo II
İS3
0-0
HT 0-0
Numancia
İS3
Numancia 1-2 Real Oviedo II — Actual Match Statistics
Real Oviedo II squeezed past Numancia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Numancia had 55% of the ball to Real Oviedo II's 45%, shots finished 21-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Numancia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Numancia and 0.50 for Real Oviedo II.
What was the final score of Numancia vs Real Oviedo II?
Numancia 1-2 Real Oviedo II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Numancia vs Real Oviedo II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Numancia 49%, draw 28%, Real Oviedo II 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.