Arabi 1-2 Dubai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubai United EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.11/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.98
-20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Dubai United
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Dubai United 0-3 Arabi BAE2
15.09.2024 Arabi 1-0 Dubai United BAE2
19.05.2024 Arabi 3-2 HT 1-1 Dubai United BAE2
07.01.2024 Dubai United 1-2 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
1-2
AWAY Dubai United
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Dubai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubai United nicked a narrow win over Arabi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dubai United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arabi had 45% of the ball to Dubai United's 55%, shots finished 14-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Arabi and 0.75 for Dubai United.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Dubai United?

Arabi 1-2 Dubai United in the UAE - 1st Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Dubai United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dubai United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arabi 33%, draw 23%, Dubai United 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubai United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dubai United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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