Arabi 3-2 Dubai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubai United EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.25/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/0.50
+8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +147%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dubai United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Dubai United 1-2 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
3-2
AWAY Dubai United
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Dubai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi nicked a narrow win over Dubai United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dubai United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arabi had 51% of the ball to Dubai United's 49%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Dubai United?

Arabi 3-2 Dubai United in the UAE - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Dubai United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dubai United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arabi 28%, draw 21%, Dubai United 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dubai United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dubai United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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