Masafi 1-2 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masafi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.21/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.16
-28% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masafi
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.01.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 3-1 HT 1-0 Masafi Masafi BAE2
18.02.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-2 HT 0-1 Masafi Masafi BAE2
08.10.2022 Masafi Masafi 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
03.04.2022 Masafi Masafi 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
17.12.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-0 Masafi Masafi BAE2
POST-MATCH Masafi vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid edged past Masafi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Masafi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Masafi had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Masafi and 1.20 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Masafi vs Al Thaid?

Masafi 1-2 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masafi vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masafi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Masafi 46%, draw 25%, Al Thaid 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Masafi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Masafi) ✓ Over 2.5
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