Al Dhafra 2-2 Gulf United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
30%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
68%
-21.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
30%
Away Win
14%
+15.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf United EU Bookmakers 17%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.84/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.00
-17% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +90%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
421 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gulf United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Gulf United 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra and Gulf United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Dhafra at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Gulf United?

Al Dhafra 2-2 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Gulf United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 46%, draw 24%, Gulf United 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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