Gulf United 1-3 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
58%
Away Win
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.5pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 62%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.00/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.46
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -61%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gulf United
1-3
AWAY Al Dhafra
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gulf United vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra beat Gulf United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gulf United had 41% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 59%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Gulf United vs Al Dhafra?

Gulf United 1-3 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf United vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gulf United 22%, draw 20%, Al Dhafra 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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