Al Urooba 3-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.12/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.43
+10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
04.03.2023 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
22.10.2022 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 5-1 HT 1-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba saw off Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Urooba as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Urooba and 3.00 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Al Urooba 3-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Urooba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 49%, draw 22%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Urooba), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Urooba) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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