PSIM Yogyakarta 1-0 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIM Yogyakarta EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSIM Yogyakarta
1-0
AWAY Semen Padang
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH PSIM Yogyakarta vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIM Yogyakarta edged past Semen Padang 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSIM Yogyakarta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PSIM Yogyakarta had 68% of the ball to Semen Padang's 32%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of PSIM Yogyakarta vs Semen Padang?

PSIM Yogyakarta 1-0 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSIM Yogyakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split PSIM Yogyakarta 56%, draw 23%, Semen Padang 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSIM Yogyakarta), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSIM Yogyakarta) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
4 Jan 2026
09:30 Malut United vs PSBS Biak Numfor Analysis →
11:30 Persis Solo vs Persita Tangerang Analysis →
15:00 Bali United vs Arema Malang Analysis →