Bali United 1-0 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 28%
-22% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
0.87/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
-45% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 211
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2025 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-0 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
11.09.2024 Bali United Bali United 0-0 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.03.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-3 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
13.08.2022 Bali United Bali United 1-2 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
15.03.2022 Bali United Bali United 2-1 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
05.12.2021 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-0 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United nicked a narrow win over Arema Malang 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bali United and 0.83 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Arema Malang?

Bali United 1-0 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bali United 42%, draw 30%, Arema Malang 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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