Al Karkh 2-2 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.4pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh and Al Mosul couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Al Mosul?

Al Karkh 2-2 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mosul win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 33%, draw 34%, Al Mosul 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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