Duhok 1-0 Baghdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Jan 2026

Duhok
1-0 HT 0-0
Baghdad
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Duhok vs Baghdad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Duhok v Baghdad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Baghdad EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.23/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-12% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -57%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Baghdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok edged past Baghdad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Duhok as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Baghdad?

Duhok 1-0 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Baghdad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Duhok 51%, draw 27%, Baghdad 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Duhok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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