Shabana vs Nairobi United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shabana v Nairobi United — Team-Based Signals
Shabana 1-3 Nairobi United — Actual Match Statistics
Nairobi United beat Shabana 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Shabana at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Shabana had 66% of the ball to Nairobi United's 34%, shots finished 19-11.
What was the final score of Shabana vs Nairobi United?
Shabana 1-3 Nairobi United in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shabana vs Nairobi United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shabana 46%, draw 26%, Nairobi United 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.