Leopards SC 0-1 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.37/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.95
+58% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
07.12.2024 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-1 HT 0-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
18.02.2024 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0-0 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
17.12.2023 Leopards SC Leopards SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
29.12.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leopards SC
0-1
AWAY Homeboyz
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz nicked a narrow win over Leopards SC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 36% / 33%) promised a tight game; Homeboyz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leopards SC had 60% of the ball to Homeboyz's 40%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Leopards SC and 1.00 for Homeboyz.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Homeboyz?

Leopards SC 0-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 31%, draw 36%, Homeboyz 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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