Homeboyz 1-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.44
No
66%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.4pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.56/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.02
-35% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
335 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Leopards SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
18.02.2024 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0-0 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
17.12.2023 Leopards SC Leopards SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
29.12.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homeboyz
1-1
AWAY Leopards SC
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and Leopards SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Homeboyz had 55% of the ball to Leopards SC's 45%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leopards SC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Homeboyz and 1.33 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Leopards SC?

Homeboyz 1-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 33%, draw 35%, Leopards SC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
7 Dec 2024
13:00 Police vs TransMara Sugar Analysis →
15:00 Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars Analysis →
15:00 Tusker vs Mathare United Analysis →
16:00 Nairobi City Stars vs Muranga All Stars Analysis →