Sofapaka 4-1 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.4pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 37%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
0.59/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
4-1
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka cruised past Ulinzi Stars 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Sofapaka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sofapaka had 53% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 47%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars?

Sofapaka 4-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 32%, draw 32%, Ulinzi Stars 35%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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