Nairobi City Stars 1-0 Muranga All Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.48
Over 2.5
28%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-11.0pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
72%
Under 2.5
64%
+7.8pp
28%
Over 2.5
36%
-7.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.72
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH Nairobi City Stars vs Muranga All Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nairobi City Stars edged past Muranga All Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Nairobi City Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs Muranga All Stars?

Nairobi City Stars 1-0 Muranga All Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs Muranga All Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 35%, draw 35%, Muranga All Stars 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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