Police 1-0 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

Police
1-0 HT 1-0
TransMara Sugar
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Police vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.05
Draw
39%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
45%
-12.9pp
39%
Draw
28%
+10.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+7.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.16/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.01
+33% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
256 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Police vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police edged past TransMara Sugar 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 39% / 29% — and on the day Police made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Police vs TransMara Sugar?

Police 1-0 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Police 32%, draw 39%, TransMara Sugar 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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