Tusker 2-0 Mathare United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

Tusker
2-0 HT 2-0
Mathare United
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Tusker vs Mathare United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tusker v Mathare United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mathare United EU Bookmakers 22%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.65/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.94
+42% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Tusker vs Mathare United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mathare United
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
30.12.2021 Tusker Tusker 4-1 HT 2-1 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker got the better of Mathare United 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Mathare United?

Tusker 2-0 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Mathare United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tusker 50%, draw 28%, Mathare United 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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